Intel’s Reign of Terror

Intel’s Reign of Terror

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In 1992, Intel made about $5.8 billion  in revenue and $1 billion in net income. By 1998, the company did $28 billion in  revenue and $6.95 billion in net income. That year, Intel was the third most profitable   company on the Fortune 500. Only Exxon  Mobil and General Electric did better.

The 1990s made Intel the world's richest   and most powerful semiconductor  company. And that was the problem. In this video, Intel at the peak.  The most powerful semiconductor   company of all time. Where do you go from there?

## Beginnings What drove this massive  growth boom? Several things. On the demand side. In mid-1992, the  biggest PC clone maker Compaq changes   its leadership and corporate strategy -  drastically cutting prices on their PCs. The consumer PC clone boom that followed  birthed a new generation of commodity PC   box sellers like Dell and Gateway  2000. They all need an Intel CPU,   often paying 20-25% of their  total wholesale price for it.

And people paid those prices because they felt  like they were getting the best technology.   Intel told them so. In mid-1991, there was  the famous "Intel Inside" marketing campaign. Launched in response to AMD's second  sourcing of the 386 CPU and backed with   a staggering $500 million throughout the 1990s,   Intel Inside told customers that they should  care about the silicon powering their computers. The campaign also had a partnership-marketing  fund, in which Intel would share the cost   of their marketing expense if an "Intel  Inside" logo was included in it. The $125   million fund worked wonders. 1,200 companies  signed up, basically the whole PC industry. In 1993, Financial World magazine named Intel the   third most valuable brand - after  Marlboro (yikes) and Coca-Cola.

## Pentium Then in early 1993, Intel launches the  3.1 million transistor Pentium CPU. And Microsoft, the other half of the Wintel  death machine, releases a series of popular,   widely adopted operating systems. First in 1993,  Windows NT makes inroads into the corporate world. And then Windows 95 completes a long-running   merger between the text-oriented MS-DOS  and a long-waited Graphical User Interface. The compute-intensive GUI drove people to  buy more powerful chips. But more powerful   chips gave programmers leeway to do more  intensive things. That in turn causes the   software to slow down. Which then motivates  people to go buy a more powerful chip.

Thus the famous phrase: Grove  giveth, and Gates taketh away. ## Taming the Competition At this time, the competition  is temporarily tamed. PowerPC - a consortium of Apple, IBM,  and Motorola - crumbles thanks to bugs   in its initial PowerPC 600 CPU family.  Plus Apple's unwillingness to license   its operating system and go the clone  route put a ceiling on its adoption. AMD is temporarily put to bed. In 1995, Intel  makes peace after a flurry of lawsuits. Now  

barred from second-sourcing Intel,  AMD must make their own x86 products. Their first in-house chip, the K5, suffers  delays and then flops due to subpar performance. Meanwhile Intel starts really  flexing its capital expenditure   muscle. In 1992, they spent $2 billion  for new fabs in California and Ireland.  

These expenditures bear fruit  as the company ramped Pentium. At the same time, Intel pulled off  a savvy vertical integration move   into chipsets and PC motherboards. The  motherboard is the main PCB for a PC,   and the chipset maintains communications  between the PC and external components.

This move vastly accelerated Pentium CPU adoption  while also sucking profits out of a competing   part of the value chain. It also massively  consolidated Taiwan's big motherboard industry. In 1993, there were 300 motherboard-makers   in Taiwan. By 1996, just 20  such companies would be left. Intel's stock skyrockets, with the price  growing a thousand-fold since the IPO in   1971. The company now holds a 80%  market share on the PC CPU market. ## Leadership Transition At the top, three leaders  shared power at the company.

Co-founder Gordon Moore still popped in about  three times a week to discuss strategy and long   term considerations. But he had always been a bit  of an academic - removed from everyday operations. Then-CEO Andy Grove ran the  company's marketing strategy   and product roadmaps. Every decision on  the microprocessors went through him. And then the third leader, there was COO Craig  Barrett. A burly former Stanford professor who  

joined in 1974. He led the company's formidable  operations and engineering side. Whatever Moore   and Grove decided to do, it was Barrett's job  to make happen and scale it across the globe. Grove finally starts to step back in the late  1990s. If being the CEO of one of the world's   most valuable companies was not enough, he  was also becoming a well known business guru. In 1996, he published a bestselling book called  "Only the Paranoid Survive". It covers a series   of decision points in Intel's history including  the one to get out of DRAMs. The title is  

quite famous today, perhaps as famous as that  Clayton Christensen book "Innovator's Dilemma". The next year, 1997, Time named Grove "Man of  the Year" - directly tying him to America's   ongoing digital and information technology  transformation. Peers like Regis McKenna,   the Silicon Valley marketing legend, said that  he may be the "best manager in the world".

Being the face of all that was tiring.  Grove was now entering his sixties and   was exhausted. One time, he pulled  over while driving in San Francisco   and asking his wife to take over,  saying that he was "just so tired". In 1997, Intel had a market cap of  over $110 billion. Thanks to generous   stock option compensation, Andy Grove  cashed in $95 million the year prior. With Gordon Moore also pulling back, it was  time for a transition. Grove asked Barrett to  

take over as CEO and stepped up  into the boardroom as chairman. To outsiders, Barrett’s demeanor seemed softer   than Grove’s. But to steal a  quote from Mr. Lee Kuan Yew,   whoever governs Intel must have that iron in  him and Barrett had iron indeed. Grove said: > I have heard him describe himself as more  ambitious and aggressive than I am. His   ambition is to start from our position  today and move it to a higher category ## Intel and the PC-makers What higher category would that be  however? That was the big question.

Throughout the 1990s, there was constant  angst between Intel and the big PC makers,   with Compaq and its CEO Eckhard  Pfeiffer leading the chorus. The two companies maintained a close  but tense relationship. Compaq like   others constantly hissed at Intel  taking a percentage cut of their   PCs’ entire wholesale price - a  cut sometimes as high as 20-25%. It left Intel with a delicious 55% gross  margin in 1994, while Compaq's gross margin   languished at just 26.6%. The margins  of Dell, Gateway 2000, and AST Research   were even lower. Such lopsided margins hints  at who wore the pants in the relationship.

Pfeiffer especially disliked Intel's willingness  to use its new motherboard business to help rivals   like Gateway 2000 and Dell bring Pentium-powered  computers to market ahead of Compaq. Fair enough. But didn’t Compaq remember  a few years earlier how they and Intel   collaborated on the Compaq Deskpro 386 PC  to boop IBM? I don’t think he should have   been surprised. Ride a scorpion  across a river, it’ll sting you.

Anyway. Moves like that made the PC  makers paranoid that their vendor and   close technical partner - a partner without  which they cannot offer a product - will   someday compete against them. An Intel-made  PC could have deeply undercut their sales. For this reason Compaq and others looked for  alternatives. Noticeably in September 1994,   they unveiled a line of Presario  desktop computers with an AMD 486 chip. The 486 was already an antediluvian six years  old in 1994, but it wasn’t Intel. And the fact   that the PC vendors would even try such a thing  indicates the desperation of their predicament.

In an interview with BusinessWeek, the  chairman of a large computer-maker said   in 1995: "Everybody has been hassling  Gates about Microsoft's monopoly.   Microsoft doesn't have half the  leverage that Intel has today." Eventually even Pfeiffer bent the knee,  because if he did not then his company   would not get that year's latest chip - the  Pentium Pro. But everyone can see the point,  

there was little margin left for Intel to take. ## Intel and Microsoft And then on the software front,  Intel bumped up against Microsoft. In the 1990s, Intel was more  profitable than its Wintel partner,   which made a pitiful $4.49 billion in net  income in the fiscal year ending June 1998. But Gates and Microsoft refused to act the junior  partner and cede any airspace to Intel. In 1995,  

Intel starts working on a multimedia software  standard called "native signal processing"   or NSP that lets the CPU handle some  audio and video compute processing. Seems hardware enough to me. But this  software work essentially co-opts   Windows. When Microsoft caught wind of that,  they considered it a threatening flanking   maneuver and immediately announced  that they would not support it. CEO Bill Gates sends an email to Andy Grove to   express his irritation. Thus Intel  backed off, but always kept an eye  

out for Microsoft developing a version of  Windows that ran outside of Intel's chips. The mobile OS Windows CE, first released in 1996,  was a good example. It could run on x86 chips,   but ARM-based or MIPS-based ones too. That never  really caught on, but nevertheless Intel felt   like efforts like these were Microsoft’s warning  shots to Intel about entering the software market.

## Sub-$1000 PCs Craig Barrett's real concern at  the start of his tenure in 1998,   however, was the unexpected  popularity of cheaper PCs. By 1996, PC home adoption hit a bit  of a plateau, at around 40-50%. As I   mentioned in my video about Compaq, all  the low hanging fruit had been eaten. By then, CPUs got powerful enough to handle basic   tasks like word processing and spreadsheets.  More compute-intensive consumer applications   like gaming were coming along but had  not yet become a big enough market.

And with the rise of the Internet,  consumers found a source of content   that did not need the latest CPU or Windows  operating system for more entertainment. And sadly enough for Intel, browser bloat  - and Electron-based desktop apps shipping   entire browsers inside their packages - would  not be a thing for another decade and a half. A lesser-known corollary of  Moore's Law goes: If customers   don't demand better performance,  they will demand lower prices. In late 1998, the average price of a PC fell  below $1000 for the first time. A third of the   PCs sold were for less than $800 - driven  by low cost providers like Packard-Bell. Intel has seen this before. Customers originally  complained that the 386 was unnecessarily more  

powerful compared to the 286. That eventually  led them to the famous Intel Inside campaign.   But this time the stakes were much higher.  Since Intel priced its CPUs as a percentage,   lower PC prices threatened revenues. Such a market situation also favored Intel's  rivals like National Semiconductor and AMD   which did not invest so much into leading-edge  fabs. The latter managed to sneak back into the  

market after their iffy K5 effort with  the much better received K6-2 chips. And most of all, lower PC prices threatened  Intel's way of doing business. Every few years,   Intel spends billions of dollars on another  massive factory - praying that if they build them,   then the people will come. If sales dry up, then  the money for that next factory dries up too. ## Otellini and Segmenting the Line So Craig Barrett assigned one of his  rising stars to fix this problem: Paul Otellini, a soft-spoken Bay Area  native who first joined Intel through   the finance department in 1974 and then rose  up the ranks to become a general manager. Andy Grove made Otellini his "technical  assistant" in 1989. Otellini was smart  

and aggressive but lacked a big ego,  and Grove liked that. The role would   have been somewhat of a demotion for  Otellini but he nevertheless took it.   Grove then assigned him onto various  thorny business problems across Intel. Otellini was a talented diplomat - his brother  apparently once worked in the Vatican as   one - and this helped him navigate the company's  complicated politics and many power centers. Otellini’s solution to the PC pricing  problem was to segment the Pentium line.   For sub-$1000 PCs, they brought out  a cheaper brand called the Celeron.

After a rough start, Intel refined these  low-end Celeron chips - some units were   priced as low as just $71 - and they started  to eat into AMD's and Cyrix's businesses. Intel did the same for the high-end too.   For workstations they had the 64-bit  "Merced" CPU. Long in development with   the computer-maker Hewlett-Packard,  they later renamed it to the Itanium. And since this was 1997, it sparked  "Titanic" jokes. They called it the   "Itanic". A fitting reference as it turned out.

But another segmentation - one for  servers - did very well. In April 1998,   Intel unveiled the Pentium Xeon  or just Xeon line of chips. They nicknamed it the "warrior princess chip",   guess because of the cult-classic  TV show Xena Warrior Princess. Intel positioned these powerful chips for  beefy servers powering corporate networks   or movie-making rigs like those used  by the animation studio Pixar. Since   these systems cost anywhere from $25,000 to  $100,000, Xeon chips were very profitable.

Incumbents in this market included IBM mainframes  or DEC's VAX minicomputers running proprietary   software. And Sun Microsystems, which  offered Unix-based Solaris applications   running on self-designed RISC-based Sparc chips. At first Sun ridiculed Intel for entering the   market. A group marketing  manager said at the time:

> Xeon is just a Pentium chip ...  It's desktop technology trying to   play in the enterprise market.  It looks from this perspective   like Pentium's last gasp. How far can  they push a 20-year-old architecture?

But Intel used its formidable  manufacturing capacity to give   their Xeon-based servers fast but cheap  compute that competitors could not match. Meanwhile, we have the rising adoption of  the open-source Linux operating system.   Linux worked quite well and lacked  the legal issues wafting over Unix. And being open source, it did  not cost anything for people to   use. Customers were more than willing to  port their proprietary software to Linux.

The Linux + Intel combo  beat Sparc and RISC so badly   that even Sun caved and started making x86  servers too, perhaps an attempt to beat back   IBM and Microsoft. In other words, Intel made  Sun compete against its own in-house product. The concoction of free, useful software and  cheap, powerful silicon is very potent indeed. ## Communications Barrett's strategy during  his CEO tenure had two parts. First, he poured billions of dollars into  R&D and new factories. This continued   even during the slow years  of the early 2000s. Barrett   recounts in an oral history with  the Chemical Heritage Foundation: > I think we went through ten  full-blown up and down cycles   in my thirty-two years here. Gordon  [Moore] always said, “You don’t save  

your way out of the recession. You  invest your way out a recession.” These big factory investments covered major  semiconductor breakthroughs covered on this   channel like copper interconnects and the  transition to 300 millimeter silicon wafers. But the sheer size of these investments  - up to 30% of revenue - disappointed   the financial community. The stock went to record   highs during the Dotcom bubble but then  fell into a deep doldrum afterwards. Worse yet, the stock traded at a relatively  low price to projected earnings multiple,   indicating that it was cheap ... and also that the  market did not expect much future growth up head. So Barrett also started buying back stock. The  buyback program began in 1990 under Andy Grove,  

but it was under Barrett's watch that  the stock buybacks really surged. In 1997, the year before Barrett took over,  Intel bought back $3.37 billion of stock. In 2005, Intel bought back  $10.6 billion of stock. They   spent more on buying stock than  capital equipment for the fabs. The second big thing Barrett had to work  on involved those fabs. If the fabs are  

not fully utilized, then they are losing money.  With the PC market no longer growing as fast,   that meant finding new markets  for all that new factory capacity. In a 2001 interview with  Tampa Bay Times, Barrett said: > During the '90s was the PC revolution and  by Intel focusing all of its guns on the PC,   I think we were able to ride the wave  just at the crest and never fall off,   and that's precisely where you want to be.  I think we did absolutely the right thing.

> Now that that business has slowed down some,  it's important for us to diversify, do some other   things, and look for some other growth areas  to supplement that sort of growth we had from   just the PC. So that has required us to take  some risk or gambles in moving into new areas, Barrett was very aware of the  questions that this might bring   about for the company. Was the company  losing its focus? So he added this bit. > But you shouldn't read this so much  as Craig Barrett became CEO a couple   of years (ago) and therefore  Intel's changed directions. > It's really the whole environment has changed.  And I think we did absolutely the right thing   under Andy Grove's CEO tenure - focus, focus,  focus - because we had a huge opportunity.

> And now the environment's changed and  so we should focus this change. Call that   risk-taking, I call it being a pragmatist,  a realist responding to the environment. Barrett eventually narrowed onto the  communications market as Intel's next thing.  

That was then a vertically integrated industry  - highly fragmented with no dominant player. Intel intended to turn that into a  horizontal structure like that of   the PC industry. Barrett envisioned Intel chips  powering data networking gear, infrastructure,   handheld computers, mobile phones, and more.

Even after the bust, he remained bullish on  the internet, e-commerce, mobile, and silicon   in general. He noticed how chips were getting into  everything, especially in the home, and positioned   Intel to provide the central intelligence  to connect and control all these things. This platform strategy would eventually come  to be known as "Intel Inside Everywhere" or   just "Intel Everywhere". In 2003, then-CTO  Pat Gelsinger said at a company event: > Before I retire from Intel, I want a piece of  Intel technology touching every human on earth,   every minute of every day, in  every aspect of their lifestyle The issue is that all of these industries  already had players. Considering Intel's   existing unequal relations with its PC-maker  clients, did Barrett recognize how alarming   such ambitions can sound to them? Asked about  this, Barrett said in another interview in 2001: > This can be threatening. But it can give  companies an opportunity to realign themselves  

and make use of these building blocks and,  just as importantly, adapt to a new economics ## Acquisition Spree Without time to organically  enter these industries,   Barrett started doing something that Intel  had never really done before: Acquisitions. Intel would buy good products from  startups and then leverage its big   factories and integration to out-manufacture the   incumbents. Intel's general manager of  communications Sean Maloney said in 2002: > The name of the game in the next three to five  years is high-end capacity and what you do with   it ... We're the guy with the factories.  We believe that capacity is a big deal in   the next few years. And integration of  design and manufacturing is a big deal

Between 1998 and 2002, Intel spent over  $8 billion to assemble a communications   and cell phone chip business. Some of  the biggest acquisitions came prior   to the Dotcom bust at rather elevated prices. For example, in 1999 Intel bought Level One  Communications for $2.2 billion in stock.   Level One provided chips for LAN/WAN applications,  Ethernet controllers and other networking chips. That same year, Intel paid $1.6  billion to buy DSP Communications,  

which made digital chipsets, designs,  and software for mobile handsets. They were targeting the wireless processor  market. They renamed DSP to XScale and   extensively marketed it to Motorola,  Palm and BlackBerry, to iffy results.

There were some encouraging signs. By 2003,   Intel captured 11% of the Wi-Fi chipset  market. Good progress after just a few months,   but still counted for fifth place behind Broadcom,  Globespan-Virata, Texas Instruments, and Atheros. However, many of these initiatives  did not work out. Former employees   grumbled about Intel putting semiconductor  people in charge of these new businesses,   who lacked proper mindset for the market. For example, Intel's move into chips for  the DSL market. In 1998, they moved into  

this market with a new standard they made with  the help of Compaq and Microsoft called G.Lite. Back in the day, internet required a "splitter"  to separate internet and phone service. A chip   on the G.Lite standard theoretically would  not have required a splitter, which was nice.

But Intel did not get the backing  of the critical gatekeepers,   the telecoms. Having not been asked for their  input, they refused to adopt it. The technology   later encountered technical issues in field  tests, was never shipped, and sort of faded away. This happened repeatedly. By 2003, the  communications division made $4 billion   of revenue but lost $800 million  in profit. Years later in 2009,   long after his retirement, Barrett was asked  his thoughts on these acquisitions and said: > "I bought high and sold low. But at  least money was cheap in those days" ## AMD's Challenge So throughout the late 1990s and early 2000s, Intel was experimenting like a small-town  freshman at the big-city university.

And just like those kids, Intel  took their eyes off the ball. And   suddenly found itself on its back  foot, thanks to its old foe AMD. Back then, consumers used clock  speed as a proxy for performance,   especially across different processors.  Not exactly the most correct way to do   it - there is a reason why Steve Jobs called it  the megahertz myth - but that is how they did it.

In 1999, AMD finishes their Fab 30 plant  in Dresden running a 180 nanometer node,   and announces a new line of Athlon chips. First at 900 megahertz and then  potentially at 1 gigahertz in early 2000. In March 2000, AMD announced that they had beat   Intel to the coveted 1 gigahertz  number with their Athlon chips. Later that year, Intel brings out a Pentium  III chip with a 1.13 gigahertz clock - just  

slightly faster. They can now  reclaim the fastest x86 crown. But tests by Tom's Hardware and [H]ard|OCP  found that the new chip was unstable and did   not run benchmarks properly. When told about this,   Intel gallingly said at first, "If you  really feel you have to write about it,   then we can't keep you". Intel was later  forced to pull the chip off the market. The clock speed battles continued throughout  the next few years. Intel released Pentium 4   and the NetBurst architecture, which  targeted even higher clock speeds.

But such speeds made the chips go so hot that   they can literally boil pasta. The  2000s were wild days for computers. ## AMD and the Server And then there was the battle for the  server. As I mentioned, Xeon had some   success in the workstation and smaller server  spaces, which appreciated the cheap compute. But the real money was in the large server space,   big systems dominated by custom solutions  made by DEC, Sun and IBM. Such systems were   differentiated with proprietary components,  software, and most of all - 64-bit capability.

Intel tried to create a 64-bit server chip  with the Itanium. It was not only long delayed,   but not backwards compatible with older  software since it was a new architecture. AMD took a different route. They opted  to extend the existing 32-bit x86   architecture to 64-bit. The resulting  Opteron chip was not only very fast,   but also compatible with existing  operating systems, software, and hardware.

But despite a large marketing push and a pretty  well-received product that many industry analysts   believed to be as good or better than what Intel  had, AMD did not make headway in the market. ## Retaliation Now Intel's people have long been a-holes. Stories  abound but here is one recently told to me. One of the few companies with  an x86 license is Taiwan's VIA   Technologies. VIA produced some Pentium  4 chipsets - the earlier-mentioned chips  

that control communications between  the CPU and the rest of the computer. Intel did not want companies to use  non-Intel chipsets, and sued VIA   for patent infringement. They also allegedly  intimidated partners to not use VIA chipsets. Then came the Computex trade show in  2001. VIA's marketing team floats a  

bunch of VIA-branded balloons around  the show. The Intel marketing people   go around cutting the lines to the balloons,  causing them to float to the showroom ceiling. Contemporary media dubbed it the "Battle  of the Balloons". VIA sued Intel in  

response. A Taipei court found Intel  not guilty for destruction of property. So yeah, there was a reason why they were so  unliked. But as PC market growth slowed and   competitors clamored to finally steal their  lunch, Intel seemed to go a bridge too far. AMD's inability to gain share against Intel   eventually led them to sue Intel for  alleged anti-competitive practices   in 2005. Practices like paying vendors  rebates if they only used Intel chips. Or threatening vendors with pulling  rebates or even funding competitors   if they should use AMD. A Dell presentation  in 2003 said that Intel's retaliation to an   AMD switch "could be severe and prolonged  with impact to all Lines of Business".

Or modifying its own products to  lock out players that challenged   its position. Like redesigning compilers  to work slower on non-Intel hardware. Nvidia accused Intel of introducing  barriers that made it harder for   Nvidia GPUs to interoperate with  Intel CPUs. Not to mention bundling   practices that favored Intel's own  integrated graphics over Nvidia GPUs. Intel for its part fought vigorously.  Intel and AMD settled their private   lawsuit later in 2009. The US FTC then filed an  anti-monopoly suit in 2009 which settled in 2010.

Over in Japan, their FTC ruled in 2005 that Intel  violated anti-monopoly rules and required changes.   Intel accepted the ruling and instituted the  changes, though it didn't do much for consumers. The European Commission fined Intel  about a billion dollars for these abuses,   and this is the case that Intel  battled in court for nearly 20 years. And I think in October 2024,   they finally won. Props to Intel for  sticking with it all those years. ## Otellini Takes Over When Barrett first joined Intel in 1974, the company generated about $50  million in revenues per year. By 2005, the company was doing $100  million revenue each day. The size  

question continued to plague the company.  For Intel, achieving 10-20% annual growth   on a $30+ billion revenue base meant adding  the equivalent of an AMD every single year. Barrett was now 64 years old and  nearing retirement. And thus in 2005,  

a new CEO took power: the aforementioned  Paul Otellini, the company's first leader   without an engineering or even technical  background. He got his degree in business. Even at the time, people questioned  Otellini’s qualifications to lead such   an engineering-heavy company. But  both Andy Grove and Craig Barrett   publicly backed Otellini. Grove  told Fortune Magazine in 2005: > Paul is a self-taught technologist. He  knows the products better than I ever did

Barrett admitted that Otellini "is not so  steeped in the basic technology as some of us   were" but argued that such knowledge was not what  Intel then needed. In an oral history he said: > My contention would be that the company  is not just making transistors any longer.   It’s making more complicated solutions  for customers, and no matter who is CEO,   the CEO is probably not going to have an intimate  understanding of every aspect of our business. > I think Paul’s got a very good cross  section of understanding. He’s got a   lot of smart engineers. He can talk  to them ... But I don’t think it’s   a problem. If I thought it was a problem we  probably wouldn’t have put him in that job.

He is not wrong by the way. Most  CEOs do not need to and should   not have to know the details of their  business - Jensen Huang perhaps being   the exception. Hire good people  and trust them to do their jobs. The market welcomed Otellini's  moves to continue pursuing the   x86 server business and undoing some of his  predecessor’s excessive diversifications. Including a 10,000 person layoff to streamline  a corporate structure that many analysts felt   gotten to be too bureaucratic. Things  were starting to fall by the wayside,  

and items on the roadmap slipping back and back. ## The iPhone Thing About a year into Otellini's tenure, Intel missed the design win for  what would eventually be the iPhone. What has been said about this miss is very well  known. Otellini did that infamous interview  

with the Atlantic in 2013 where he spins  it as a price and forecasted cost thing. If he ever followed up on those comments,  it was not widely reported and he sadly   passed away a few years later  in 2017 from cancer. Eff cancer. Doubly sadly, Grove preceded him  by a year for undisclosed reasons. I think Babbage over at the wonderful Chip  Letter newsletter clarifies the mythology   with the information we have at our  disposal. A truly excellent piece.

Among other things, Babbage points  out exactly how people at the time   responded anytime Intel offered them something:   They worried that Intel was going to lock them in  and do to them what Intel did to the PC industry. Kind of reminds me of how  the movies industry refused   to cooperate with Apple after seeing  what iTunes did to the music industry. He wrote that Intel was then in the midst of  a refocusing on the x86 architecture - which   included a sale of XScale to Marvell in  2006. This move to x86-all-the-things was   brought upon by AMD's competitive pressure and the  failure of their intended x86 successor Itanium. But the power consumption profile  of such a device was nowhere near   what Apple wanted. Ben Thompson of  Stratechery - I affectionally call him  

Ben Ben - touches on this in a 2022 interview  with Tony Fadell, the father of the iPod. Fadell recalled that Intel came in  with a PC mindset. One centered on   x86 and repackaging whatever they had on  the desktop for the mobile. He likened it  

to how Microsoft during the Ballmer era  was trying to make everything Windows. It is natural for big, successful  companies to stick to what made it so   big in the first place. But mobile turned  out to be entirely different from the PC. Apple's success induced both Intel and Microsoft  to spin their wheels over the next few years,   repeatedly throwing out "PC-like mobile"  products like Atom mobile processors and   Windows Mobile/CE in search of  something that can pass muster. ## Conclusion There is one last thing I want to add about that  miss. In his biography, Jobs said about Intel:

> They wanted this big joint project  to do chips for future iPhones.   There were two reasons we didn’t go with  them. One was that they are just really   slow. They’re like a steamship, not very  flexible. We’re used to going pretty fast. That part harkens back to the  point I said earlier about the   company's growing inability to  execute on ambitious roadmaps.

> Second is that we just didn’t  want to teach them everything,   which they could go and sell to our competitors. Intel worked with IBM, and then turned  around and worked with Compaq to bring up   a competitor. Then they worked with Compaq's  own competitors to compete against Compaq. They shut down potential challengers to  their own dominant position. And by the  

time it dawned on the PC market who was  really running the show, it was too late. And I am sure that Jobs must have remembered  how Intel once made their own web tablet,   called the iPad, back in 2001. Intel's titanic success in the PC industry  greatly enriched them. But it backfired   on them in that when they tried to expand,  their reputation preceded them. Incumbents   in other industries did not want to work  with them. Partners building the future  

did not want to use them. Intel  at the peak had to dance alone.

2025-01-07 18:33

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