friends greet you this is a daily review let's consider the current situation because judging by the opening of plavix, drop revati mind ssd that are traded, you can make a very interesting conclusion and perhaps brave enough let's take a weekly timeframe by fixing an index of fear of horror horror-horror oh volatility, respectively, what we see we see that, proceeding from the structure itself, which has been formed since 2020, we have a reversal here, respectively, from here, well , somewhere in July, the middle of July of this year begins a reversal formation of which the goal of the movement is, well, to start, go somewhere here, here on 57, then rewrite here this han that has recently been achieved but look what is interesting here is interesting here is that the closure last week it absolutely clearly indicates that the near future, well, until October 18, let's say until October 18, this whole wonderful structure goes into consolidation, that is, here I am today in the morning I had to look at wix, I'll take a look after 1 0 o'clock the fact that as it was opened it allows us to conclude with a high degree of probability that until nothing the mountain will give up until everything is calm and most likely this is the closing of the quarter that should happen this week it will pass quite gently, of course here and we have very much a worrying factor, more precisely, 2 1 this is China, which can make a crossover at any moment and the second is the energy crisis in Europe, which the whole of Britain is already covered by such an energy crisis when utility grid companies cannot normally fulfill their obligations due to the rise in gas prices 15 percent 15 times I ask forgiveness in comparison with the twentieth year, respectively, here at any moment an energy collapse may occur, well, if the electricity does not fall passat them, the factories of the enterprise stop , they are forced to send people on vacations somewhere in the paid somewhere in we do not pay and but in any case if they stopped for it someone will pay it damages it can pay capital of roughly who owns can pay people who are indefinite leave was sent or even reduced but in any case it is the losses that will put pressure on the European economy soon would refuse necessary to restart the economy, it is necessary to change the production cycle to switch to green technologies to do this, what to take the first iron step to decide on a complete rejection of coal in general, tightly began to abandon coal, we have a gas collapse, we have interruptions in the energy sector, we do not understand what next is what beauty can happen in life if you take sharp steps in macroeconomic issues, and so friends summarize the wicks today in the morning I whispered something in my ear on October 18, but until October 17, the crisis is postponed nothing terrible there will be a market system dynamic we have a lot of risks that I voiced there is still the end of the quarter there is still not very good reporting on fedex and my nike indicates that there is a collapse economic activity, but nevertheless, if we rely on the signal that supra gave today to the Vicks like a marmot, then, accordingly, until October 18, there will be a lull so friends but such terrible articles went about the energy crisis in Europe to heighten the whipping up these are the photos when everything is in the darkness of horror- the horror around and so on and so forth the situation is really very difficult very ambiguous it leads to the fact that the collapse will grow and, to the greatest regret, it will be not only in Europe but also in China, the current problems of Europe are in the energy sector, in this in China, the energy sector this can serve as a fatality for everything that is in China because the Chinese economy, which, thanks to the command system, well, in certain places when problems arise, it retouches and closes it so far, it seems, does not look so terrible, but this is only so far there are much more problems there than in Europe and America combined and the current situation with gas m which arose due to the transition to the so-called green energy, it does not inspire optimism because, based on this situation, in general, here, at least for me, an energy crisis simply looms because either the attitude towards coal will be revised or some mega huge to introduce the same windmills and the same solar panels in steps, but I think the process will be extended here, so we will have to give slack to the corner, cancel or revise carbon taxes, because otherwise it will be a collapse began with China, China is already choking on what it took to show itself a progressive country to impose restrictions on electricity generation dispersed the creep, including therefore, although not only for this reason and, accordingly, the current situation indicates that we are on the verge of a full-scale energy crisis, the only question is when this crisis will occur because the current situation indicates that it must inevitably happen this winter 20 22 years old wicks indicates that so far the situation is stabilizing until mid-October, but on the other hand, as all the factors here, they show that horror is on the way so friends let's move on to the Russian market let's see the current situation what are the ideas for today and what all this is for leads look at many, perhaps such a not entirely correct impression is created that the notes are stale, let them be there without gas, whatever they want, they do Moscow there is gas oil and we will heal well, I would like to warn against such an unreasonable position, because if we consider the possibilities for the growth of quotations of Gazprom and Novatek really has a lot of opportunities here, and with such a situation we can see a thousand in the winter at Gazprom, taking into account the dynamics of development, but the problem is that the world has become a goal of interconnected globalism and therefore these prices will affect Russia, including fuel problems, Russia is affected this time the next moment these are all the failure of the supply chains now the failure of the energy The technical sector will come to the fact that the cost of goods and services is fabulous, but forgive me about any deliverance of the inflation rate, there will be no talk, that's how it was in the spring of this year, in the summer of June, as I said that all this will come to galloping inflation, perhaps even hyperinflation in this vein and all this is developing accordingly here, as I see it, the aggregate of inflationary pressure is very strong and the lack of economic recovery and the labor market will force the Federal Reserve System at some point, not now, later to take rather drastic measures to curtail the sudden redemption of bonds and possibly even increase rates as soon as this all kachur kitchen will be done and we will get a full-fledged thirties of the twentieth century with all the ensuing consequences, I want to believe that everything will be fine, that really, as it were, humanity has developed there new technologies, including financial and the whole thing is just to learn no failures nothing will be but look there is a law of conservation of energy gii nothing arises from nowhere if there is some kind of failure, this should have been a logical end to find so that what was an obstacle, it collapsed then all crises that before that were all practically with collapses in one degree or another and sometimes not even with one the collapse if we consider the movement of quotations on the stock exchanges and therefore the point of view chains here, this crisis is most likely, I think so, but it has not exhausted itself too many factors indicate a w-shaped scenario that the first bottom it will not be as heavy as it was in March of the twentieth year so 2 so let's see what we have here on the charts so sms and well, today, apparently, the statistics will be consolidated at 15-30 and, accordingly, according to the American statistics, the situation can be defused, but so far nothing dark clouds here portend a sideways movement like this friends further crypto ether daily timeframe and here there is a clear upward movement, and again, if 2500 2580 is not broken through from this range, from here we are directly moving on, let's go well, at least probably to the 3940 region, it is possible to rewrite this maximum, again here a mass of negativity is covering a mass of repression there from China by the FRS , but really it is still in the lateral for that that this movement on the rivers took place confidently and the breakout of the trembling level of 183 thousand two hundred as soon as there is a breakdown here and it closes immediately the movement will go so friends next euro ruble let's see here we have a daily timeframe futures, respectively, broken through the lower border 8 6680 6550, respectively now there is a movement in which I will teach the goal and even a little 86 100 to go and process further if here now knitting starts and there is no further downward movement and breakdown of 85 600, then we will definitely from here with scotch tape and the goal from how many today tomorrow the day after tomorrow 8 6950 here to this value then as for the situation snow well, look while the ruble is strengthening pr no reversal formations against the euro if you rely on the clock of the century hour 1154 in Moscow is not observed here so friends gave rushydro a four-hour timeframe and look here in the framework of the fact that Europe and the whole world is on the verge of a dietary crisis due to the situation with gas more precisely from - due to the situation with the transition to green technologies of abandoning coal, which led to a shortage and a powerful increase in gas prices, respectively, this company will be the number of beneficiaries of this bad situation because it does not depend on gas, it depends on the movement of water in the Arnu rivers and here, respectively Taking into account what is happening, if we do not encounter a massive oval, then in the middle of this winter by RusHydro there will be 9490 6 kopecks made rewritten now here we are talking about the breakdown of the level 81 and a half kopeck as soon as it breaks through and consolidates from here the movement will quickly go to the area 83 kopecks even here to this value for today in Russian, how I see it will be movement here in this m range, consolidation and an attempt to break through its consolidation of the 8150 level, so friends, but the situation with Gazprom does not seem to be quite obvious and rewriting of the historical ha, I am not far off, we recently received a mark on it, this is the 320 319 range, respectively, if there is no breakout here as a result rollback, this upward movement, it will continue where but 1 target 369 further 450 and then it is possible that it will drive a thousand again, I'm not a fan of Gazprom, but if this situation with gas, at least based on a linear approximation, will also develop, then such a movement is simple it will inevitably be just the fact that the price of gas remains and or the price of gas continues to rise, which is why here the price of gas can serve as a very good diver again for the Russian economy this will not be a good thing and for each person in particular, but here are the shares Gazprom they can very powerfully continue their movement even though they rewrite this maximum so friends Well, for today, as for the movement in Gazprom, here we will have a consolidation in the range, and it has a new chick range, 346 353, respectively, but here it is consolidated if it does not break through 346, then it will be generally wonderful, it means that today, tomorrow, 369 will be taken well, by the end of this week so friends gave novatek novatek a new gold mine in our market well look here the current situation is a corrective rollback nothing terrible there is no global here it has a level of 1800 1760 if this round does not break through as a result of rollbacks then novatrack the first target fulfills the testing of 2030 and which move up wherever and wherever with such gas prices and the continuation of the prevailing dynamics, he can come anywhere as friends, but this is how the gas price looks like the movement goes to the range of 6 half 6 7 this level 5 it was held all here mastered accordingly the probability is high that the movement, well, at least 6 and a half, it will continue so they took VTB arrived in time and VTB respectively Actually, level 5 1 kopeck, it was asked in general for a flight, respectively, fixing above this level will lead VTB this week, but the first target is the movement here it is already at 32 and then, accordingly, testing a breakdown of the level of five and a half kopecks if there is a breakdown of the level of 5.1 and a protrade then this growth will be postponed and it will go to consolidate here in this range between these two red-haired lines so friends further yandex yandex shvonder and so there is a movement whose goal is testing and breakdown of the level of 6000 here, in fact, a little bit of upward movement left here is absolutely clear at there is a level here that is at 5650 5700, respectively, if this level does not break through, all rollbacks will be bought out and will lead up until they break through and rewrite they will buy from the maximum so friends here is head hunter interesting paper liquidity a trifle for high but like crypto at 57 percent a day walks very often now he has come to the level that he has si line support for id3 600-700, respectively, if a breakdown in this range does not occur today or tomorrow, then from here a movement is initiated with a target of 3960 right here to this value so friends will move away from no here the situation is extremely clear like other non-securities 519 breakdown consolidation after that, the next target is in the area of 543 550, here, on the paper, it sank very much, respectively, it has a lot of goals, at least while maintaining the current oil prices, and it is quite possibly going down in the winter in the area of 600 620 so the situation took a shot here testing and a breakdown of the 7000 level as soon as this movement arises and is fixed, then flour and lu, respectively, flies into space, but here there is one nuance which is that if a breakdown does not occur promptly within a few days, we will get a corrective rollback from here in which the target of the movement will be in the area 6400 here to this value so friends then the question was about the magnet see 5 800 e If we break through and fix the pau magnet this week or next week it sags with the target of movement in the area of 5370 right here to this value if today this level holds, it will consolidate in this value will continue to grow, so on, the Russian rgbi index hit this strong fatal level 143 if it is impenetrable it would be very, very good so friends then the question was on the metal pool the monthly timeframe I take on look here while there are no signals for a reversal it falls and falls down his face to catch a falling knife is it worth it the first stopping point which can be 1200 if this movement continues and from the current range from this value of 1200 will not be broken, then consolidation and rebound will appear from here the first target and how much movement is 1670 then a movement to this high, but if here a joke there is a breakdown of the range on my metal pool, we will see the movement in the area of 950 well, it falls and falls here, as it were, for something to cling to, but actually they say a few but on it the downward movement continues as long as continuously and attempts to reversal do not give anything, so friends gave ozone a wonderful picture of the UAZ on the daily timeframe, but because he goes below 3600, so they give, but if he is not given these below 3600, she has only one way to go up here to this value of 4250, but it will be after first the movement to 3,900 and then the breakout of 3960 now, as for today's movement, there will most likely be consolidation in the range of 3660 3770 in the event of a breakdown of this border 3810 or on the same day or the next pulling here to this range so friends in general, probably all thanks for the attention of successful tor
2021-09-29