Introducing Personal "INCEPTION" Trading Model | Derived From Free ICT Content
thank you absolutely hello hey everyone wow again i'm only i'm not used to this there's usually like 20.5 people maybe 30 on this calls and i only started doing them like a few months ago so thanks a lot for joining okay so i guess we can start again this is all recorded i didn't want to record in the beginning but a lot of people asked so why not so again you can see the disclaimer on the screen first right and um so that's you know the usual stuff and actually notice they have a typo here could be no discussion level content so before i even begin uh and i just wanted to say thank you for joining everybody um you know when i made this uh the video i shared about my results and i tagged michael you know i was hoping to get like a comment from him which i did but i i had no idea that he's going to share me uh you know share the video on his community fab uh knowing how picky he is so while i'm extremely honored i'm also overwhelmed by so many people and then you know joining my telegram youtube asking questions and well so obviously i can't spend my time to find everyone like i can possibly apply everybody to everyone but this is my way of trying to help you guys right um trying to show you what i'm going to show you today is how i look at the market using michael's information like what i've studied from michael and i'll show you my personal model that is different from michael's and maybe i hope that some of you will find it interesting for yourself maybe something will click for you but for others it might be not beneficial at all it might not resonate with you at all and that's totally fine there's so many ways to look at the markets and it really depends on your your person well the traders personality as to what type of trader you want to be and how you want to trade or let's say maybe some people are better with uh imbalances some people like for the blocks you know like whatever tools are available you can pick and choose which one you like the most so that's the beauty of it wait can can you guys hear me just someone just one person please say in the chat can you hear me i can see my screen yes okay okay okay i was just using this okay okay cool thank you all right great all right so we saw this disclaimer so again let's get straight to it so uh you have to understand that the game and my notes here let me see what i want to talk about okay so the trading is really a business of probabilities right you want to put your money at risk if you're trading live funds um or even while while you're learning you want to take a trade that had and that has a high probability of being a you know playing out in your favor based on what you understand the markets so there are times in different markets when these probabilities are very like any kind of like the probability of the market going like up and down is you know it's very it's basically 50 50 it's hard to determine and i'll show you what that means and on the other hand there are times when it's like you can anticipate the market you know turning around uh and the probability of it will be higher so let's just start looking by and this will be this information will be useful for not just for scalpers like me this is just for me you know people who they trade and maybe hold positions for a few days so let's look at an example of the euro dollar here this is what i would call like low probability conditions so we see we have been while we had this huge decline we also recently the last week or so we have been consolidating right and if you uh if you're new you can just use the fibonacci tool and look like from again from this wind low to the swing high let's actually go to the one hour chart um so you see that euro has really been pretty much just consolidating and look at where um well the market closed pretty much at the 50 percent right literally like not premium not this time or pretty much right in the middle so as a day trader this means that any kind of like potential analysis uh has low probability of playing planning you know you want to go short i mean it's pretty much a 50 50 chance you know you're going to go low saying the same thing so uh and look how difficult it is let me just remove this look at it if you try to hold trades let's say you buy here market comes back takes you out by here market you know company market comes back takes you out you want to sell it comes back takes you out you want to sell comes back takes you out so for day traders it's difficult but guess what for scalpers like me it doesn't really matter it does not matter if like probably and i'll you know i'll explain that in a moment because i go on the one minute chart and i can always usually find something to trade using my model so you might add so this is again just to for you to understand again consolidation right the market literally closer to 50 it can go either way plus we are also during the weekend right now you know so anything can happen on the weekend you know i have i'm going to share even though i just said that probabilities are low for any kind of short-term direction i do have my preferred bias what i think it might do but you have to understand also where you are in the week and you have so this is the weekend right now right so anything can happen in the world any kind of global event that can you know shake the markets markets can you know get up get down easily you know anything we still have code going on maybe some kind of bad news about it or whatever or you know if i don't know maybe the queen of england you know let's say she went for a walk and you know she sleeps and fell and you know the pound dollar is gonna just collapse something like that but uh you get the idea but let's you might ask then what's uh what is a high probability condition right so let's go let's say to um us 30. so obviously let's say if you want to go short right you want to be shortened at the discount and let's look at this price right here um you see the market traded lower took out these lows right and started retracing and you have two fair value gaps right here right in this section and let's say again using that okay market is facing to keep going low this one here and this one here so you have two fair value gaps so you might think okay so my uh why not this one well like why shouldn't i short here like why should i wait here well the reason is because again it's pretty much too close to the equilibrium and with experience again you don't need the fields you can just see it right away but um if you're a new trader it's it's very beneficial so what i would use uh what i would do is like stretch your fifth from this high to this low and why this high not this one is because this high started this run down this is the most like the energetic move that started well they had it started the energetic move okay and you can see that this uh fair value gap which is still it's a very strong level on the date it's the daily chart right there's going to be a lot of um you know liquidity so you can see that actually it was very also there's a lot of price actually happening here but it's pretty much just a little bit a little bit above the equilibrium but this fair value gap is right in between what icc calls the sweet spot right the uh premium it's in the premium market so you want to be selling obviously at the premium right so this is the different difference between low probability conditions when price starts getting in here you're like okay it's more likely to go short and you just don't go short right away just because it went into you know the gap you start looking and you start looking for confirmation so going down if you are a swing trader you go down maybe on the floor four hour one hour chart um and if you look closely let me remove this this actually is a perfect example of michael's um youtube model but we had a sling low broken and why this one low because this one located the highest high that you know broke this highs market broke down broke the swing low again we have your fair value gap you can so short you know like on the daily chart so i'm not going to go into details about it because i don't think i can explain this model any better than michael would uh but i'm just going to say that i use his youtube model a lot on the one minute chart i like it it's very simple to me but the focus today is to show you guys my own model okay maybe some of you will find it useful so actually since we're here so i hope this makes sense um and since we're here actually let me so this is how i approach the market right from scalpies perspective again my view of the market might be different from yours or someone else's and that's totally fine so i just look for like first thing the easiest thing that stands out is to look for obvious like daily or one hour like highs and lows this stands out stands out to me and this right here also right now basically this whole area would have so many lows so i have a preferred direction usually um i think that we should punch below these lows and you know like below this load and then maybe we'll see some kind of replacement up and then go lower but in general i think we should see lower prices because it's just too obvious that you can draw a trendline here also you know trendline traders will be here so uh looking for a bounce so i'm thinking the market should go low okay i haven't preferred direction um but at the same time if we go on the one hour chart this is actually very only very obvious um it could too i think this oh if you go on the one hour chart again this is my daily routine kind of i mean not even daily i just like whenever i want to trade i just like sit down maybe half an hour before i start looking for trades on an hour uh and you know so looking for something like that what did the market do or in the weekend i can mark some snow so i see a lot of also this is basically your exist uh support yes i know resistance right your textbook resistance so it could i would like it to do what i would like you to do first is to first you know i would like to punch through to take out by side liquidity you know and then go lower that's my preferred idea uh of the market but again you have to um you have to consider that where we are in the week if this was let's say if this price actually was on monday and we were going into tuesday's trading right i would be more confident this samsung this will pay out market will go up right like take out by side and then you know go lower uh i'll be more confident with this but because we are in um on the weekend right now right anything can happen again the market can literally just get down without even going you know you're taking out this guys uh or i could be completely wrong and just fire like this and you know what i honestly don't care i mean i have my if my bias is wrong i just adapt to what the market gives me i'm not afraid to be wrong and again i have a whole like i have seven or eight months worth of history in my telegram chat backing me uh i've been sharing analysis and you can see that most of the times it plays out or not so i know what i'm doing but if i'm wrong i'm you know i'll i'm not afraid of being wrong let's just say that i'm just adapting because again once you get into the scalping um i'll talk more about scalping you know you'll see that i don't really care too much if my analysis plays out great i'll just ride along with it if it's wrong and the market will go ballistic well i'll adapt and find something to go wrong um it all depends on really like how monday or tuesday let's see if i want to trade uh like what the market gives me i'll see i'll wake up i only trade you know the morning session and the pm session i don't trade london so i'll see what the market gives me uh like what the market has already done and now for my idea correctly i'll adjust my idea if i need to uh right before i want to trade sometime in the morning maybe around 8 a.m in the morning um so okay this was
your 30 right and then let's go back then for the euro dollar again i went i told you that any kind of like potential short term analysis is kind of has low probability of cleaning out but i still have my preferred idea what i want to see i think again that we still should see lower prices um and i'm sorry i kind of i'm just i have like uh i'm not really looking at questions in the chat so i don't distract myself i'm just going with you know what i wanted to discuss today so i'm trying to um answer the questions people asked so anyway i'm thinking we should go lower right but this again this looks very clean to me i would like if the market does go higher uh i mean uh it may be just to take out this height and then go over yeah but again i would like it to stay below this high why because this high basically was going a one-hour chart um you know this move up cleared out all this buy side from you know the previous week basically and then started dropping lower so i think as long as we stay below this level we should be fine and see lower prices but even let's say if i'm wrong and the market completely you know it goes higher and it will just go a little bit higher and i still think we'll go lower in the end um but this is what i prefer seeing right now okay my preferred idea is just maybe spike above the size and go lower without breaking this high uh but again 50 50 chance so this is what i want to see but i will just play along with what the market gives i'm just giving you out my ideas and trying to show you what happens in my brain when i look at price all right so with that being said uh i wanted to share with you my model right um and it's really just you utilizing the fair value gaps and i shared with you let's start with the example on nasdaq that i shared with you um in the telegram channel i showed you that there was the only trade that i took after i shared that video uh they made me an extra four percent and i even went an extra mile to show you the broker statement for the day so i don't know how many people do that so this was a third day trade like uh the market collapsed and i saw that a lot of people i know were trying to buy to buy the dip so to speak right like because market broke below previous days low um but i was i shorted this why because if you go on the five minute chart this is what i saw and i believe michael talks about it in one of his recent uh videos i don't remember which one but i think he mentioned it so and this is what comes with experience you have to understand i saw this price kind of just uh stumbling not breaking um you know like so this up candles this uh up closing candles they kind of serve as a stop sign uh for price to move higher you see like the rejection here rejection here so from i believe that we still should see lower prices for my black scalp and another reason is because and this is like that's why i don't really care what happens in the market like uh you know because i can frame a setup within you know a few if i see just price action over the last few hours so this was this high and low this high and low here this was the low and high of the lunch hour right i see based on ict um time frame so from 12 to um let me just put a line here to one hour um one p.m eastern time this is line travel right so this was the london um the lunch hour high and um price took it out for me that's enough to start looking if price wants to go short especially since we're kind of rejecting this area here doesn't let the price to go higher um you can see there was a fair value gap also right there so this is another so this is what i outlined on the one minute chart this candle right here broke down created fair value gap and i sold here after price at the rejecting plan um someone here i saw here my target was basically the uh near clan shower low um i saw this fair value gap and already price also rejected this fair value gap like from the five-minute chart the surprise so previously right and even everything i told you previously um i believe that we're still going lower then i went on the 30-second chart this is how i scale several times throughout the day but right now i just want to take a break from trading so i'm not going to trade as much for i i just need to break so this is my last trade for the week and also look so we have a fair value gap and one minute chart and we have a gap uh what happened on the one-minute chart uh on the 30-second chart sorry all right so we have two overlapping fair value gaps imbalances however you want to call it actually i sold it somewhere here so i saw the price started rejecting it this was so overlapping gaps will serve as a strong usually if you arrive in the direction right you'll see that they served as a sort of um also barrier for price to um you know for price to go any higher so i saw i i saw this rejection i saw and uh again my my target was just this frequency right here so this is how i uh this is one of my it's the simplest model because it only really utilizes the fair value gap uh concept and it's very powerful like many overlapping fair value gaps like a bearish time frame also in play this is why so uh it happens almost every day in the market and this might be this example might be a little bit still too much for you because it's a 30 second chart so i can show you how uh and it's not even the highest probability trade i'll show you what i was like a trade that i actually missed i only saw it after it happened it's something that i would prefer taking like if i uh man that was such a beautiful trade on the euro dollar so i hope this kind of makes sense again overlapping fair value gaps while we took out this high again high probability trades usually occur when a previous high or low is taken out and you start looking see if price wants to reverse okay or if there's some kind of maybe one hour imbalance the price trades inside of it and then you go into lower time frames and look for either an icc youtube model idea or what i'm showing you here okay that's the idea um and no consider i did not sell at the style level we said this is a premium compared to this price fractal right here again you have to consider the price fractal speed um let me remove this so this and this swing high started this energetic move here that also took out this low so i sold actually at the premium so from this range you see how it all um kind of um combines it makes sense but again this example is i'm going to show you something that probably will be easier to see and uh will appeal to more people because this is again 30 second chart i know most people cannot trade on the 30 second chart so let's go to the euro dollar okay this is the trade that man i saw it after it happened and oh my god i like i wish i saw it like while i would it was this is something absolutely beautiful so people uh another probably a tip for you a useful tip is that let's see okay this was the fair value gap i was looking at on the one hour chart and as you can see here again the higher the time frame the stronger the zone you can see another fairground gap on the one-hour chart right here so you might ask like why how like why do i still keep down this you don't want to discredit an imbalance just because the price straight traded to it like once or twice especially if it's like only a one hour chart and balance you can stretch it out for the you know for the next for the whole week or even like week and a half so you can it's really just if you do back testing you'll see how many times and price can potentially come back and reject the imbalance and at some point it will of course if it comes back it will blast through it so it's just a matter of experience i allow for it to usually come back two times late and look for shorts and on the third time it can potentially uh bless through his own you know but not always so keeping in mind these imbalances just kind of throughout the week is very important because as you can see there's so much price action so much price action in this area right here so again we have two overlapping imbalances from the one hour chart right it is extremely it is an extremely um hold on a second okay extremely powerful zone and um this okay so let's drop down to the 15-minute plan again it's all about time and price we have new york session right new new session from uh basically 7-10 we have price trader lower we have this imbalance right here price rejected and we have an imbalance on the 50 minute right here so you see how many already imbalances we have like in this zone with a very strong one hour and 50 minute chart so um let me go to the five-minute chart there was nothing there was no imbalances on the five-minute chart so what do you do you go on the one-minute chart look look how many um okay one minute short we have an imbalance here it rejected it here we have you know the chart becomes ugly we have another imbalance right here so you see we have basically two one-hour imbalances one fifteen minutes in balance we have so many one minute imbalances so uh we also have a breaking structure here and the price came back so this is your kind of ict model uh this high broke above these highs on the one minute chart breaking structures so many overlapping imbalances so uh i would uh i would if i were to take this trade you could take this one but i prefer this one after this imbalances got established like look at it how beautiful this is how the one minute chart closed right here um that one on the one minute candle sorry so you can sell uh this requires maybe a little bit more experience also but where i mean you can trust that the zone is so strong because you have so so many confirmations that this would be hypothetical let's say even if you don't like maybe you wait for a rejection let's say you don't get the best and you started saying here you stop us it will make sense if you want to be aggressive your stop-loss can be above this high but that's too you know you have to be experienced i personally would not place my stuff here to be safe i would place my stop here again above this high let's say 11 pip stop plus um you know 11 and a half whatever and i go you know i usually stealth anywhere between two two and three hour trades so look pretty quickly you get your three to one risk to reward me personally even if the price went lower out this would be enough i'll close out so this is what i'm still struggling kind of because a lot of my trades do go you know more like for like five six seven are in profit and uh i keep telling myself that i should keep it on like a small partial to you know you know for running but it's just me i like to i guess be in and out of the market quickly so um i'm still developing on that part i'm trying to teach myself to leave at least a small runner running for more but the idea is for you to target let's say even even if i know that price is most likely going to target liquidity lower so why did the price break down lower because you have your relatively equal high um lows right here this is your low resistance equity surrounding that teaches it right this is your well you can draw a trendline probably here so it makes sense for price price is already dropping again we have we have a rejection of one imbalance so many overlapping imbalances here so it will make sense for it to keep going lower and even though i see the price is most likely going to tackle this liquidity first it's also kind of a little bit late in the day for me it's like it's london closed so if it gives me 3r i'm done but you can totally if you want just make sure that pay yourself and you know in between let's say you want to take partials at 203r take it and then let it ride out and you can see that you know nice delivery price did in fact go lower um and bounce back up right so the idea is hopefully um at this point i think this example is better right because it also deals with you know higher time frames so maybe more people can be on the charts looking for it look listen let me just remove all this this is kind of ugly so you have a fair value gap inside of another fair value i mean i even made the mean for this if you've seen the reception movie uh what if i told you there's an effigy inside of a refugee inside of another okay so this is the idea i hope this is like an easy way to kind of memorize it and again you know i'll share this video this is how i trade it happens a lot a lot a lot throughout the days uh could you please go in this is i mean that's i just i just did i just showed you the nasdaq trade okay and um so yeah i think those two examples were pretty good in my opinion um you have to and again what a lot of people don't understand it's what you need is experience uh even just because let's assume all right let's assume that whoever created the algorithm all of a sudden comes to you and tells you hey i'm gonna sit down with you and give you a model that has a hundred percent winner right um and he teaches you that he has he says okay good luck guess what you are still going to fail why because you lack experience anything worth having in life takes a lot of practice and sacrifice and there is no way around it you need to have experience thousands of hours on the charts testing your model out and with time you will be able to filter out that trades you'll be out you'll see where the price is most likely going to reverse and again strong probably the probabilities are very strong when the market uh takes out let's say an hourly high low and then you can start looking for potential reverses and lower time frames and uh again you just need experience to you know oh i can see all these things happening in real time and that's why i don't really like i mean back testing is good but i think that it's better if you see things develop real time if you just sit on the front of the charts and see price action and you think okay even if you don't place a trade on a demo whatever you just think okay this looks like a potential reversal i'm going to anticipate price reverse and this is where i'll probably sell and that's how you develop your mind um how do you establish your daily bias i just went over it at the beginning of the video guys i just told you like how i like i believe like again i just told you i go on the daily and i see stuff and i think that i just mark out the obvious highs and lows in this case let's say you're 30 wherever the lows so i think the market will go lower um i'll look at i drop down to the one hour chart i always keep the flower chart always skip it i don't like it i look for also obvious like highs and lows like imbalances things like that i just mark them down uh price does not always have to come to them but this is something i just keep an eye for and then when the time in price if i trade during new york session i just see what the price gave me already for the day and the price does come back to my balance and i want to sell short i'm going so short because my ideas will be going short because there's so much liquidity here i think we should see lower prices um and then again the drill down is like when you can go down to the 50-minute chart finding the chart one minute chart for entries uh that's the idea uh let's see and let's just look for let's say i know food futures just again give you an example i never trade two futures but let me see what it is you go on the daily chart what sends out you have to see what stands out immediately you see highs and you see lows okay um there's an imbalance right here on the daily chart too so you see actually price came in and started rejecting uh again this is just consolidation kind of a low probability scenario but i think that fundamentally we're still not done with higher prices so this is soybean um in my opinion i would like the market to trade first below these lows to take out any sell stops or and induce people to go short and then reverse and go higher because i know there's so many things going on in the world that uh i don't think we're done with higher prices this is how i would say you know this is just an example of again i'm just you know looking at it because a completely different asset class that i've never traded but this is like a good example of a consolidation what you would mark down highs and lows liquidity will be there and uh again certain things will come with experience my idea is dropping down going higher can i be wrong absolutely but so what and whatever the market gives me during the killdown times i'll go and look for setups again if you think about it the market was ranging up and down really still being on the daily chart consolidation but you can see how you can frame a setup based on what it did throughout the day and you don't even need the whole day really i just showed you so many confirmations here very strong known for potential continuation lower so you can as a scalper you don't always have to worry about the daily bias in my opinion and you might disagree with me and that's totally okay you might completely think that you know doesn't make any sense but i think that for some people if you go and uh back that's what i just showed you overlapping fair value gaps uh just go on the one-hour charts look for imbalances straight amounts throughout the week and look how price reacts at them on the 15-minute chart on the five-minute chart one minute short in the more imbalances you have overlapping and if you see some kind of clear liquidity arriving at lows clear lows high high low uh this is where most likely the daylight on the market is going to go for the day and we're talking about a game of probabilities you have to be able to see where the market is going to go that comes with experience there's no other way around it uh and i hope that i try to the best of my ability to kind of bring those bridges together and explain you my personal model only utilizing the free content from uh michael okay so lung tells me that we have a few minutes left so at this point i mean i've covered most of the things let me see um yeah so again daily chart the drill down is simple that a daily chart one hour chart liquidity polls and then you go to for 15 minute final chart to frame a setup um during new york i don't trade i see some questions about a london session unfortunately i i don't really trade london session again i'm a new york trader or a trading pm session so i would not be you know i don't have much experience trading it i like the new york session i think it's easier because you can see what the price has already done for the day and um and especially for new traders i think it's easier to frame a trade there okay let's see nasdaq yeah there's so many so one last thing before we go again there is nothing you have to submit to time you might not really understand understand what i'm telling you right now or my what michael shows in his videos right now but don't get frustrated it comes with time as long as you don't quit you have to suffer blown accounts you have to suffer once you maybe you get funded you lose a funded account you know you have to suffer the fact that friends and family might not always support you but it's all worth it in the end as long as you don't quit with experience you will see the market doing same things over and over again and you will be able to filter out bad trades based on your model your strike rate will increase there's no way around it only experience that is your secret sauce okay that's really i see so many people trying to go deep in the rabbit hole asking for you know in 2436 whatever i don't know that stuff i don't need it i try to eventually your trading becomes simple like i just showed you this model is one of my its most simple model but i love it it's one of my favorite i have more advanced model models but this i've been using it especially recently i know if you go back test there's so many setups like that so submit to time okay there's the journey is hard it is very difficult it is very very difficult but with time your trading will become simpler it can sound like as an oxymoron but that's the way it is i just broke it down based on my almost five years experience four and a half years of experience two of them studying ict how i use only one concept of fair value gaps no order blocks no smt nothing just if you want if you know how to use smt great use it like for confirmations but it's not always required again overlapping fair value gaps are very very powerful just going back to see for yourself see if you can find setups uh when the market opens this week uh see for yourself okay and if you go back through some of my youtube videos you'll see that that is exactly what i'm doing overlapping fair value gaps and i usually like to short for some reason i'm much better shortened than uh buying i know that's just me personally okay so yes i use this model uh along with other models to get my 201 piece i did i i mean i use it on all of my accounts okay so whatever i see in the market i do it so we have less than a minute left on that note i hope you learned something useful please let me know uh what you think and um i'll talk to you guys at some other time and when i have time i'll upload the video also okay so everyone have a great day talk to you next time be safe
2022-05-12 04:04
