Best Swing Trade || 92% Win Rate With Safe Hedgings || ROI Opportunity 8.4% in 9 Days|| EP1
Welcome back hedge traders to India’s most powerful live trading journal In this journal we are growing up a portfolio of 1 Cr at a rate of 10-15% a month This is going on since last 5 months And every month we have grossed 10-15% a month My target is to grow this portfolio from 1cr to 35cr in next 5 years In the last session we discussed the results of tata steel and made a trade on that basis which is going very well I said that I will introduce passive trades This is the first passive trade of this series This is a swing series We will have result series where there will be giant counters And in this swing series, we will take passive trades and get returns from it that month We will see if their results are independent or not This is the first trade in Mind tree We expect a profit of 3.19 lacs The portfolio requirement for this is 25 lacs to 40 lacs We are expecting ROI of 8.4% First we will do analysis and then form a result Lets analyse the structure I have taken the last 20 sessions The first segment is future buildup We will consider both short and long build ups And only those long build ups with positive volume change When we add the OI of this process with volume change positive in both short and long buildup Long buildup had 3174 lots in the last 20 sessions And zero lots in short buildup Which meets the condition Short buildup was at both places but volume change was negative so we won't count that Total volumes are 31774 This is slightly bullish in future There is a complete P-C change We will go through summary 1 OI support is 4500 as per option chain graph PCR is 3.63 And slightly supportive OI change at this level Its distance from ATM is -9.09% It is a little far compared to resistance level
Its level is 9-09% The closer they are, the stronger indication there is Further bids are not a strong indicator Best OI resistance point is at 5000 Its PCR is 0.07 And slightly unsupportive OI change in the sense that call addition is less compared to put addition ATM level is 1.01% which is near to the spot level We need these levels because they are closer and have strong buildups Overall OI change is -580600 lots It looks bearish The future lots are 31774 Last change of P-C is -170,000 This indicates bearish move in the counter There can be a trend reversal from level of 5000 This is basic analysis You will learn what trade to do We need to know how to do analysis We did analysis of the OI change We got to know that there are 5000 strong levels There is support at 4500 Lets see how OI change happened This is the change of last 15-20 sessions, this is of 10-15, and this of 5-10 The closer we get, the important this change becomes This graphs depicts the change This graph denotes complete change in the last 20 sessions There is a bearish result in the last 5 sessions There is put OI change of 200,000 and call OI change of 5 lacs Total put and call OI change is negative by 3 lacs The price change was 109.95 Result is bearish
Last 5 sessions they are bearish There is a long buildup in the last 5 sessions The denotes bullish move But as per this segment, its ebarish It has been extremely bullish in the last 5-10 sessions 10-15 session is bearish And 15-20 session is bullish Currently, the last 20 sessions are bearish Price change is 246 But buildup has been strongly -8 lacs have built up during 20 sessions If we review this This is about buildips Green shows long build ups Red shows short buildups These 2 are important Yellow and blue are long unwinding and short term The main focus is on green and red And the changes between them Are there more or less buildups If there are long build ups then are they increasing or decreasing sIf there are short buildups then are they increasing or decreasing We can see that long buildup is in decreasing order, and price is increasing This is bearish indication Although price is moving up Price move shows bull run, but it is diminishing And consolidation phase will come soon OI percentile stands at 61.67 And price percentile is at 99.44 level A bullish move is expected The P-C OI change for last 20 sessions After looking at 4 segments it shows that there will be a consolidation period after which a bearish move will come There is a weightage of everything Buildups have weightage OI percentile have weightage We will get the final result after compiling all percentiles and then we’ll form a trade Previous accuracies in mind tree have been more than 92% The risk reward ratio of my trades is 1:6 With this combination, trade will be strong We are easily able to see that the price is at max pain trend Price is also rising This is bullish This is intermove If you look t it in normal term It is almost neutral to bullish Spot is a little further from max pain level It indicates that the best buying zone is below the max pain level Currently its in sell zone level Looking at OG gains, this is the graph of last 4 sessions This is the current 20 session graph Once we read this, you will get an idea of this In the last 5 sessions, the recent price was 4931 The change in spot was 101.75 During this the OG change is 0 and max pain change is 100+ Because max pain has changed 100+ Spot has changed 100+ Result is bullish The buildups indicate bullish move in future In 5-10 sessions, the move is bullish In 10-15 sessions it was bullish In 15-20 it was bearish overall, the price has changed to 397 points, OG has changed to -100, and max pain changed to neutral There was 400 points in mind tree But OG has given negative shift It has changed by -100 points This shows the buildup is bearish OI change indicated the same And OG indicated that too The sell range is 47-4900 Price is 4931 so its outside the sell range Once you get into this range, we can shorten the positions in mind tree Buy range is 4575-4700 OG level is at 4700 Looking into volume profiling and PCR formations and percentage basis formation We did a complete analysis of this We can say that current IVs are the green ones And blue one is IVR Red is IVP and black is the price The sell range is 60-80 Current IV is 46.25 IVP range is 74.11 which is in range The annual range is 22.32 to 79.34 Highest IVs were at 79.34 And lowest at 22.32 Current is at 46.25 Historical volatility is 55.79
Best range of IV selling is 65-80 And it currently stands at around 74.11 its good for selling Resistance as per volume profiling was at 4700 Which changed into the support This level was acting as resistance, now its acting as support There were max volume buildups during this time Price has increased from there so its a bullish bullish buildup If we go through price Daily chart shows bullish trend There is divergence formation The red lines indicate selling range Green line indicates buying range Buying support are the green dotted lines and sell support are the red dotted lines Which is the OGR1 This is OGS1 This is OG range Max pain is standing at 4700 These lines are max pain Best to buy is the green range there can be trend reversal because it is in sell range You cannot buy at this level You will have buy at this level because trend it up For selling at trend reversals, then we will hedge it out with buy segments of this range It looks bearish right now But trend is very bullish right now Weekly trends are also bullish And hourly trend is also bullish It lies in the sell range so we need to be cautious And build up trade accordingly The combination of price with PCR and OI change is a great indicative The price moves here This is the price movement of last 20 sessions This is PCR movement for 20 sessions This is the OI change movement for 20 sessions In PCR price has moved up and PCR has moved down at a level of 0.46 This is bearish OI has been diminishing for the last few sessions It only increased in last few sessions, otherwise it decreased That was also bearish buildup It took a great spike in last sessions Indicating that we need to hold this and look at future buildups If we do complete summary I will tell you how we will form a trade for mind tree Lets look at the power of this trade This trade can be live anytime after 12am on 18th November In the old passive trades in mind tree, the accuracy levels are approx 92% The risk reward ratio is 1:6 There will be multiple trades I will guide you how to trade Expected profit is 3.19 lacs With ROI of 8.4% And portfolio should be above 25 lacs, ideally 1cr If your portfolio is less than 25 lacs then don't do these trades We will start another portfolio for this You can take those trades with a strong risk reward ratio of 1:50 There will be risk of 1Rs and reward of 50 Rs I think there has been no such investment series in India In coming sessions i will introduce those trades With adjustments we will 100% book this with profits Without any adjustments it will give 92% profit Average trade holdings for this sequence will be 9-10 days Looking into HT matrix of mind tree we can see that in last 20 sessions 31774 lots were built up Which have been brought up in last 20 sessions It makes the future OI build up bullish P-C has been 580600 lots Put and call change was bearish indicating trend reversal Zone is bullish and formation is bearish There is strong resistance at 5000 PCR is 0.07
Atm distance from spot level is 1.01% which is great Strong indication of bearish move 4500 is a good support with PCR of 3.63 and atm distance of 9.09% Which is little far So its clear that there can be a shift from 5000 there can be trend reversal Analysing max pain Max pain and OG are at levels of 4700 The OG support is at 4450 Buying range is 4575 to 4700 And OG resistance is at 5100 With selling range 4700 to 4900 We will not sell calls below 5100 At the range of 4700 to 4900 IVP range of mind tree is between 65 to 80 Currently its 74 Its in sell range Favourable for option selling We understand that this trade has had 92% accuracy The profit will be 3.19 lacs With ROI of 8.4% We will cover it before expiry Ideal portfolio is 25 lacs to 1 cr This trade will generate a profit of 3.19 lacs It will go live at any time after 12am 18 november You can message on whatsapp for this trade Before connecting, do the volunteer act Help anyone within your city You have to do this otherwise dont connect with me Do this act in your city Connect on whatsapp Its handled by my manager Link is in description Do it after doing the act Don't do this act because you want to connect with me but because its our mission is to feed 1 cr families And to make it a success, do it by heart I will share this trade with you We are expecting a profit of 3.19 lacs In the coming sessions i will bring investment trade
Its risk reward ratio will be 1:50 Its a very strong trade I will bring it very soon In this scenario we have grown the 1 cr portfolio by 50-60% In coming 5 years we expect it to grow by 35cr Take care do good in your region, then connect with me I will help you with trading Take care and peace out
2021-11-23 09:14
